A spot Bitcoin ETF has become something of a holy grail for the crypto industry—despite repeated pushback by the SEC—but Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong is “pretty optimistic” that one will be approved soon.
While stressing that he doesn’t have “proprietary or inside knowledge” on the matter, Armstrong told Decrypt that, “from everything I’ve read publicly […] it feels to me like we’re getting closer to an approval.”
“I’m pretty optimistic we’ll see something approved on an ETF next year,” he added.
For starters, Armstrong pointed to the SEC’s failures in court. “The courts have pushed back on the reasons for denial of these ETFs and said, ‘Well, those aren't valid reasons—so if you have some other reason, let's hear it. Otherwise, you're gonna have to approve one of these things eventually.’”
In October, the U.S. Court of Appeals ordered the SEC to review digital asset manager Grayscale’s application to turn its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into a spot Bitcoin ETF. While the SEC could still deny Grayscale’s application, it would need to find a new reason to do so that doesn’t relate to its previous line of argument, that the futures Bitcoin market is not closely connected enough to the spot market.
Last week, the SEC met with Grayscale to discuss its application.

Coinbase CEO: We Asked the SEC for Feedback, All We Got Was a Lawsuit
San Francisco-based cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase is under fire from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, despite the company’s attempts to seek clarity from the regulator, according to CEO Brian Armstrong. In an exclusive interview with Decrypt, Armstrong said Coinbase has met with the SEC 30 times over the last 18 months. "We haven't really gotten any feedback from them about which assets they believe are securities and which they believe are not," he said, "other than Bitcoin.” Cit...
Earlier this week, the SEC delayed the bids of Franklin Templeton and Hashdex’s ETF applications ahead of its January 1 decision deadline. Bloomberg analysts suggested the delay opens a “clear runway” for simultaneous ETF approvals, which they expect will take place before January 10.
Coinbase and ETF custody
Of the 13 prospective Bitcoin ETF issuers, 10 have chosen Coinbase Custody, as the custodian—including new entrant Pando Asset, which filed its application with the SEC yesterday.
That means Coinbase could potentially be holding billions of dollars’ worth of Bitcoin on behalf of the funds—a level of centralization that’s raised eyebrows.
Armstrong pushed back at suggestions that having so much Bitcoin concentrated at one custodian is a risk.
“I think it’s a good endorsement of Coinbase and the trust that people are placing in that,” he told Decrypt, adding that Coinbase has stored “in the tens of billions” in crypto over the past decade. He pointed out that Fidelity plans to self-custody its Bitcoin; crypto exchange Gemini has also entered the fray, as the custodian for VanEck’s ETF application.

Coinbase 'Ready to Hit the Ground Running' on Bitcoin ETF Approval, Says COO
Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase is prepared to move quickly if a spot Bitcoin ETF is approved soon, Coinbase COO Emilie Choi said during an earnings call Thursday with investors and analysts. “We are ready to hit the ground running,” Choi said. “They should add credibility to the market, and we should see increased liquidity and market stability, as we've seen with other asset classes, such as a gold ETF.” Crypto moguls, such as the Winklevoss twins, have pursued ETF-like products that let inve...
Approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF would be lucrative for Coinbase, which highlighted custody fees as a potential revenue stream during an earnings call earlier this month.
“My hope is that other custodians get built as well,” Armstrong said. “I’m not worried about it short term, but longer-term the crypto custody business is going to be an attractive business to a variety of companies, and we’ll get more diversity in the ecosystem.”
Edited by Stacy Elliott.