In brief
- Poloniex is listing TRUMPWIN and TRUMPLOSE tokens, whose value changes depending on the outcome of the upcoming US election.
- The tokens will be redeemable for either $1 or $0 after the election, based on whether Trump or Biden wins.
- Currently, the market for TRUMPWIN and TRUMPLOSE indicates that users are bullish on a Biden presidency.
Crypto exchange Poloniex has listed two ERC20 tokens called TRUMPWIN and TRUMPLOSE. The tokens will be redeemable on FTX for either 1 or 0 USD, based on the outcome of the US Presidential election—meaning that they hold up a mirror to users' beliefs about the likelihood of a second Trump term or a Biden victory.
According to the Poloniex website, both tokens act as “tradeable prediction markets where the market price of TRUMPWIN should be roughly equal to the probability that Trump will win the election and the market price of TRUMPLOSE should be roughly equal to 1 minus that probability.”
At the time of writing, the TRUMPWIN token is valued at US$0.36, and the TRUMPLOSE token is valued at US$0.59, indicating that users are bullish on a Joe Biden presidency.
Hackers Attack Trump Website, Ask for Monero
For half an hour today, potential supporters of President Trump were unable to access his campaign website. They were, however, able to send Monero to the hackers responsible for attacking donaldjtrump.com. The hacker(s) used their 30 minutes of fame to post a notice stating "this site was seized" and "the world has had enough of the fake-news spreaded daily by president donald j trump," complete with replica seals from the Department of Justice and FBI. It was perhaps the most grammatically cha...
Both tokens are issued by FTX, and pose little prima facie risk to users, as each token will expire to $1 or $0 after the election. Moreover, both tokens are based on the President 2020 Futures Contracts on FTX.
The Innovation Zone
Both Trump tokens are recent entrants into Poloniex’s Innovation Zone, which is a trading section that allows customers to discover innovative assets.
“We are always striving to bring our customers new and innovative assets to trade and are excited to be able to showcase some of them in this section,” the Poloniex team said on its website.
Trump and Biden Trade Blows, and So Did the Markets
Donald Trump and Joe Biden went at it during their first presidential debate, as markets did their best to dodge the punches. The two candidates spent 90 minutes insulting and interrupting one another, prompting Biden to say to the US president, “Will you shut up, man?” During the debate, Dow Jones futures jumped more than 250 points before reversing lower. By the close of play, S&P, Dow and Nasdaq Futures markets were all in the red. In the build-up to the debate, traders had been placing be...
The Innovation Zone also plays host to the exchange’s decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens. According to the website, “with all of our recent DeFi listings, we wanted to allow customers to easily see which assets we have available within our DeFi filter.”
At the time of writing, the TRUMPWIN and TRUMPLOSE tokens represent the exchange’s newest listings.
