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S&P 500 (SPX): Up or Down on May 4?

$872.98May 4, 2026

Order Book

The order book shows all open buy and sell orders for this market. Use it to place limit orders at your preferred price. Learn more

Market Details:

  • Market Period: From the publication date through May 1, 2026, at 8:00 PM UTC.
  • Market Close: May 4, 2026, at 8:00 PM UTC.
  • Resolution Time: May 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC.
  • Market Target: 7230.12

Resolution Criteria:

  • Resolves to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) at Market Close is equal to or higher than the Market Target.
  • Resolves to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) at Market Close is lower than the Market Target.

Resolution Details:

  • The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

Cancellation Conditions:

  • The resolution source is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period.
  • The SPX does not trade at all during the entire session.
  • Reliable resolution is rendered impossible for any reason.
  • Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period.

If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.


Resolution SourceWSJ

  1. Market publishedMay 4, 2026, 10:40 am UTC
  2. Market closedMay 4, 2026, 10:00 pm UTC
  3. ResolvedDown

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