What Happens Next
The most likely headlines, according to prediction markets.
Fear and Greed Index to be at 66 or higher on October 5
91% probability· resolves Oct 4
XRP to be above $1.35 on October 5, 4PM UTC
95% probability· resolves Oct 5
Fed interest rates not to change after the October 2026 meeting
83% probability· resolves Oct 28
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) to hit high $256 in October
86% probability· resolves Nov 1
AMZN not to hit low $200 in October
96% probability· resolves Nov 1
Bitcoin not to dip to $60,000 in October
99% probability· resolves Nov 1
Bitcoin to reach $87,500 in October
90% probability· resolves Nov 1
Elon Musk's net worth not to be under $700B on October 31
97% probability· resolves Nov 1
Gold (XAUUSD) not to hit high $4,800 in October
99% probability· resolves Nov 1
Gold (XAUUSD) to hit low $4,100 in October
84% probability· resolves Nov 1
NVIDIA (NVDA) not to hit high $280 in October
97% probability· resolves Nov 1
NVIDIA (NVDA) not to hit low $176 in October
97% probability· resolves Nov 1
S&P 500 (SPY) not to hit high $830 in October
96% probability· resolves Nov 1
S&P 500 (SPY) not to hit low $700 in October
96% probability· resolves Nov 1
Silver (XAGUSD) not to hit high $76 in October
99% probability· resolves Nov 1
Silver (XAGUSD) not to hit low $50 in October
96% probability· resolves Nov 1
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) not to hit high $480 in October
97% probability· resolves Nov 1
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) not to hit low $270 in October
97% probability· resolves Nov 1
Democratic Party not to win Senate control while Republican Party retains House control following the 2026 midterm elections
99% probability· resolves Nov 3
ETH not to flip on CMC Historicals in 2026
85% probability· resolves Dec 31
Base not to TGE in 2026
87% probability· resolves Dec 31
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
99% probability· resolves Dec 31
Will Toy Story 5 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
99% probability· resolves Dec 31
Will Widow's Bay be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
99% probability· resolves Dec 31
Bitcoin not to reach ATH before December 31 2026
94% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic to IPO before 2027
84% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027
HYPE not to flip SOL in 2026
96% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027
Spider-Man: Brand New Day to be the top grossing movie of 2026
96% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027
Strategy not to hold over 1M BTC before 2027
93% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027
Clarity Act not to be signed into law in 2026
95% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027
Bad Bunny to be the top artist for 2026
86% probability· resolves Feb 1, 2027
Flávio Bolsonaro to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
84% probability· resolves Jul 1, 2027
Live probabilities from Myriad. Odds are not certainty.