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What Happens Next

The most likely headlines, according to prediction markets.

Fear and Greed Index to be at 66 or higher on October 5

89% probability· resolves Oct 4

XRP to be above $1.35 on October 5, 4PM UTC

95% probability· resolves Oct 5

Fed interest rates not to change after the October 2026 meeting

83% probability· resolves Oct 28

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) to hit high $256 in October

86% probability· resolves Nov 1

AMZN not to hit low $200 in October

96% probability· resolves Nov 1

Bitcoin not to dip to $60,000 in October

99% probability· resolves Nov 1

Bitcoin to reach $87,500 in October

88% probability· resolves Nov 1

Elon Musk's net worth not to be under $700B on October 31

97% probability· resolves Nov 1

Gold (XAUUSD) not to hit high $4,800 in October

99% probability· resolves Nov 1

Gold (XAUUSD) to hit low $4,100 in October

85% probability· resolves Nov 1

NVIDIA (NVDA) not to hit high $280 in October

97% probability· resolves Nov 1

NVIDIA (NVDA) not to hit low $176 in October

97% probability· resolves Nov 1

S&P 500 (SPY) not to hit high $830 in October

96% probability· resolves Nov 1

S&P 500 (SPY) not to hit low $700 in October

95% probability· resolves Nov 1

Silver (XAGUSD) not to hit high $76 in October

99% probability· resolves Nov 1

Silver (XAGUSD) not to hit low $50 in October

96% probability· resolves Nov 1

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) not to hit high $480 in October

97% probability· resolves Nov 1

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) not to hit low $285 in October

97% probability· resolves Nov 1

Democratic Party not to win Senate control while Republican Party retains House control following the 2026 midterm elections

99% probability· resolves Nov 3

ETH not to flip on CMC Historicals in 2026

85% probability· resolves Dec 31

Base not to TGE in 2026

87% probability· resolves Dec 31

Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

99% probability· resolves Dec 31

Will Toy Story 5 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

99% probability· resolves Dec 31

Will Widow's Bay be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?

99% probability· resolves Dec 31

Bitcoin not to reach ATH before December 31 2026

94% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic to IPO before 2027

84% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

HYPE not to flip SOL in 2026

96% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

Spider-Man: Brand New Day to be the top grossing movie of 2026

96% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

Strategy not to hold over 1M BTC before 2027

93% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

Clarity Act not to be signed into law in 2026

95% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

Bad Bunny to be the top artist for 2026

86% probability· resolves Feb 1, 2027

Flávio Bolsonaro to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

85% probability· resolves Jul 1, 2027

Live probabilities from Myriad. Odds are not certainty.