By Tyler Warner
5 min read
Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. And check out our daily news show 'FOMO HOUR' covering all of the top stories and market action.
GM!
Today’s top news:
On Wednesday, the market decided a Democratic Congress was good news. Stocks had their best day in three months, Bitcoin climbed back over $80,800, and Trump posted on Truth Social that the market “just hit another Record High” with 401(k)s “through the roof.”
On Thursday, the market changed its mind.
The S&P 500 fell 4.36%, its worst session since the Liberation Day tariffs in April 2025. The Nasdaq dropped 5.52% and closed in correction, more than 10% below its record from last month. The Dow shed 1,833 points.
The damage concentrated in one place. The iShares Semiconductor ETF fell more than 12%, its worst day since March 2020. Micron lost 17.5%, AMD 17.3%, Marvell 16.4%, Nvidia 9.3%. The Magnificent Seven shed roughly $1 trillion in market value. The VIX touched 28.09 intraday, its highest since March. By the close, the U.S. stock market had lost $3T in value - more than the entire market cap of crypto.
Notably, the thing that spooked investors was the same election result that lifted everything a day earlier. Several states where Democrats won have active local opposition to data center construction, and the market spent Thursday pricing in slower permitting and tighter oversight of the AI buildout. Ipek Ozkardeskaya at Swissquote put it simply: “We suspect there is going to be some scrutiny on this aggressive AI buildout.” Rate expectations moved too, with December hike odds falling to 70.1% from 82.7%.
Crypto did not sit this one out. Bitcoin fell 5.4% to $75,871, below where it traded before the election. Ethereum dropped 7.6% to $2,239, a steeper fall than the Nasdaq. XRP lost 9.8%, and Hyperliquid fell 4.9%. The CMC20 index fell 6.29%. Almost $1.1B in crypto longs were liquidated on the day, before a slight relief rally overnight.
Two assets held up. Zcash fell 0.8% and Monero 2.2%, both less than the broad market, and both remain up on the week. Over the past year, Zcash is up 146% and Monero 74% while BTC is down 26% and ETH down 34%. The privacy trade is clearly still alive and looking as strong as ever.
Friday’s October jobs report is next. After a week where the market read the same political outcome two opposite ways inside two sessions, it is fair to wonder how much anyone actually knows right now. We will find out soon…
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