3 min read
Bitcoin and Ethereum recovered Wednesday after Democrats won control of both houses of Congress in the U.S. midterm elections, despite the results likely making the crypto industry's push for friendlier federal rules more difficult.
The crypto market recovery, in technical terms, appears to be more a natural bounce, and in line with expectations, instead of a trend reversal or a FOMO-driven spike. The overnight selloff also reversed as U.S. stock futures bounced back, making it hard to pin the recovery on politics alone.
Bitcoin briefly hit a six-week low before a bounce that took it back to just above $80,000 once again, above its average price of the last 50 days, which is a solid bullish sign after weeks of bearish correction.
Ethereum, meanwhile, spiked 7% to $2,434, while U.S. stocks on the whole jumped around 1.6%, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average leading the way with a 2.5% rally.
Bitcoin price data. Image: Tradingview
Analysts who spoke to Decrypt said the Democratic sweep had largely been priced into crypto markets before election night. A rebound in Bitcoin therefore says less about investors welcoming the election result than about how much bad news they were already expecting.
The industry has spent more than $300 million supporting crypto-friendly candidates from both parties across the 2024 and 2026 election cycles. About $176 million went toward more than 100 races this year alone.
That spending was aimed partly at getting legislation through Congress that would give digital asset businesses clearer rules. The Clarity Act, a major piece of that effort, would define how federal regulators oversee different types of crypto assets and trading activity.
The bill was in trouble before Tuesday's election. Senators voted 49-50 against advancing it in September, falling short of the 60 votes needed to move past a procedural hurdle. That was not a final vote on the legislation, but it stopped the measure from reaching a full debate.
Negotiations had already run into disputes over restrictions on government officials' crypto business interests and the treatment of rewards paid on stablecoins, tokens designed to hold a fixed value. President Donald Trump's personal and family crypto ventures became a particular point of conflict for Democratic lawmakers.
Democratic control of Congress makes a quick return to the same legislative deal less likely, but it does not automatically undo what the industry secured under Trump. His administration has eased enforcement, established a strategic Bitcoin reserve and overseen the passage of a federal stablecoin law.
The distinction matters more for exchanges, token issuers, and other firms seeking clear legal permissions than for Bitcoin's day-to-day price. Analysts told Decrypt that liquidity, interest rates and investment flows still exert a stronger influence on the cryptocurrency itself.
The broader crypto market has shed roughly $300 billion over the past month, bringing its total value to about $2.67 trillion. Rising borrowing costs and worries about returns on artificial intelligence investments have pushed traders toward less risky assets like bonds or gold.
Major Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, which offer exposure to the asset through traditional brokerage accounts, recorded $215 million in net withdrawals in October. That brought their year-to-date net outflows to $1.84 billion.
The new Congress takes office in January 2027. Unless lawmakers revive the Clarity Act before the current session ends, the industry will need to start a new legislative effort with Democrats controlling both chambers.
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